New England Patriots Favored In Just 4 Of 17 Games In 2023-24 Season

Written By Connor Grootenhuis on May 15, 2023
Patriots favorites in 4 games 2023-24 NFL season, from

The schedule for the 2023-24 NFL season was released last week, and oddsmakers aren’t showing a lot of love to the New England Patriots.

The Patriots are favored in just four of their 17 games for the upcoming NFL season.

That equates to just 23.5% of their games. Ouch. That’s somewhat surprising for a team that went 8-9 last year, barely missed the playoffs and have a talented young quarterback with one more season under his belt.

Sportsbook apps in Massachusetts launched in March, meaning football fans in the Commonwealth can get in on the action when the season begins.

Patriots schedule breakdown

New England Patriots betting will begin when their 2023-24 season kicks off on Sunday, Sept. 10, at home against the Philadelphia Eagles. As the reigning NFC Champions, it’s not a surprise that the Eagles are favored by 4.5 points.

The Pats then have a home game against the Miami Dolphins followed by back-to-back road games at the New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys. New England is not favored in any of those games, per DraftKings Massachusetts.

Finally, better odds in Week 5

The first game in which the Patriots are the favorites is in Week 5 against the New Orleans Saints. Right now, New England is a 3-point favorite.

The following week, the Pats are also favored against the Las Vegas Raiders on the road. They aren’t favored again until Weeks 9 and 10 against the Washington Commanders and Indianapolis Colts. Both of those games are at home.

New England’s bye week comes in Week 11. It plays seven games after the bye, and it isn’t favored in any of them.

However, there are some very close spreads in that time frame. The Patriots are underdogs of less than 2 points in five of their final seven games.

Interestingly, all major sportsbooks, including BetMGM Sportsbook Massachusetts, peg New England’s Over/Under for total wins at 7.5 games. So oddsmakers believe the Patriots will eke out a handful of upsets in the 2023-24 season.

Week Opponent Home or away Spread
1 Eagles Home Eagles -4.5
2 Dolphins Home Dolphins -1
3 Jets Away Jets -3.5
4 Cowboys Away Cowboys -3.5
5 Saints Home Patriots -3
6 Raiders Away Patriots -1.5
7 Bills Home Bills -3
8 Dolphins Away Dolphins -4
9 Commanders Home Patriots -3.5
10 Colts Home Patriots -5
11 BYE
12 Giants Away Giants -1.5
13 Chargers Home Chargers -1.5
14 Steelers Away Steelers -1
15 Chiefs Home Chiefs -3.5
16 Broncos Away Broncos -1.5
17 Bills Away Bills -5.5
18 Jets Home Jets -1

NFL spreads can change

The Patriots may only be favored in four games right now, but that could change.

Professional oddsmakers for US sportsbooks adjust the odds and lines for NFL games all the time. The odds for each game are subject to change all the way up until kickoff.

Odds can change based on a variety of factors. The most common ones are player transactions, injuries and weather.

Because the Patriots have so many close spreads right now, it would not be surprising to see the lines move in their favor. By the time the season comes around, the Pats could very well be favored in more than just four games.

Betting on the Patriots in Massachusetts

The sports betting industry has launched in Massachusetts, and seven MA mobile betting apps are currently available. They are: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, WynnBET, Barstool Sportsbook and Betr. All of these platforms offer odds and lines for all NFL games.

Betr was the latest to launch, as the microbetting platform went live in Massachusetts last week.

In addition, football fans in the commonwealth and place NFL wagers at three Massachusetts casinos: MGM Springfield, Encore Boston Harbor and Plainridge Park Casino.

If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling, call 1-800-327-5050 or visit to speak with a trained specialist for free, 24/7

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Connor Grootenhuis

Connor Grootenhuis is the Managing Editor for Play MA covering all things gambling and sports betting in Massachusetts. Based in the Bayou State of Louisiana, he is a lifelong sports fan who believes that every loss is a bad beat and every win is easy money.

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